Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001532 0.001708 0.001886 0.002078 0.002280 0.002486 0.002709
2024-12-29 0.001273 0.001527 0.001793 0.002089 0.002407 0.002738 0.003107
2025-01-05 0.001078 0.001391 0.001728 0.002114 0.002539 0.002989 0.003498
2025-01-12 0.000930 0.001290 0.001690 0.002158 0.002685 0.003252 0.003901
2025-01-19 0.000745 0.001128 0.001570 0.002101 0.002711 0.003378 0.004153
2025-01-26 0.000614 0.001016 0.001496 0.002089 0.002781 0.003548 0.004449
2025-02-02 0.000502 0.000915 0.001427 0.002075 0.002844 0.003707 0.004731
2025-02-09 0.000455 0.000892 0.001449 0.002165 0.003026 0.004001 0.005164
2025-02-16 0.000378 0.000821 0.001405 0.002172 0.003107 0.004175 0.005460
2025-02-23 0.000283 0.000710 0.001301 0.002098 0.003086 0.004229 0.005615
2025-03-02 0.000207 0.000614 0.001209 0.002033 0.003071 0.004286 0.005771
2025-03-09 0.000158 0.000553 0.001159 0.002017 0.003114 0.004408 0.005999
2025-03-16 0.000098 0.000469 0.001085 0.001990 0.003169 0.004577 0.006324
2025-03-23 0.000062 0.000416 0.001054 0.002018 0.003295 0.004836 0.006761
2025-03-30 0.000036 0.000372 0.001030 0.002055 0.003434 0.005113 0.007223
2025-04-06 0.000019 0.000337 0.001018 0.002108 0.003593 0.005415 0.007719
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000268 0.000938 0.002057 0.003615 0.005550 0.008013
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000221 0.000889 0.002048 0.003690 0.005747 0.008383
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000180 0.000841 0.002037 0.003759 0.005936 0.008742
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000172 0.000861 0.002129 0.003967 0.006300 0.009314
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000143 0.000829 0.002137 0.004060 0.006518 0.009707
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000099 0.000750 0.002064 0.004038 0.006588 0.009918
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000065 0.000680 0.002000 0.004024 0.006666 0.010137